McCain is pretty much the bell of the ball. Romney is just watching the John McCain parade ride by, and all he can do is ask for a ride in the back. That is, of course, McCain pulls a Howard Dean "Yargggh".
That is to be determined...but not expected.
Leaving the Dark Side behind, what of the Democrats?
John Edwards is out, and at the moment, he has nowhere he would like to call home. He has not endorsed anyone, and only a matter of drama-queenery will make him endorse someone before Super Tuesday. I am putting my money on Obama, mostly because John Edwards ended making an ad-hoc alliance at the end of his campaign, pinning Hillary as the old hack, and them two as the faces (pretty ones, I might add) of change. We shall wait and see.
What about the other sorta-important Democrat who dropped out, Gov. Richardson of New Mexico? Obama. He has mentioned his respect for him. This little anecdote gives away the gist like a modern-day hollywood trailer. There goes some latinos for Obama.
So where does that leave us? Obama vs. Hillary in the most populous states yet to vote. You have Illinois, California, New York, New Jersey, Georgia, and New Mexico, among others, voting on Feb. 5th. Who wins big, who loses steam, or will it be a quagmire to be decided in Ohio (shiver)?
Obama will win big, and here is why: He will take his acropolis, Illinois, along with his new adopted home, Kansas. Georgia will be Obama purple, mainly because of his african-american following, and the support Edwards will bring to the Obama camp (hey, he wants to give the VP business one more run--and god knows Obama is no Kerry). Edwards brings Union support, working class-support, and the leftiest of the base left that scurried off the Kucinich and Gravel ship as it sank. This will secure Georgia (expect a decisive win there).
That leaves some giants: California, New York, New Jersey, and New Mexico. Clinton will get her own adopted home (yes, adopted), New York, but not by a large margin. Her lead has diminished there, and she has taken it for granted. New Jersey will be Obama! I know, I know, this is highly improbable, but so was the lead Obama has taken away from Clinton in almost every state she took for won. He will not win big...but win indeed. A slim margin will still make NJ Obama country.
That leaves California and New Mexico. Dare I say: Obama. New Mexico is not as much a certainty as California, but Richardson's endorsement will cement sufficient of a margin to give him the state--he is very respected there, and easily won re-election the last time he asked for it. California seems to be the prize of all prizes. It should be. The delegate-rich state bumped its primary up to Feb. 5th, making it as important as Ahnuld believed it should be, and I agree with him there. Hillary's lead is no longer an insurmountable hill. It is now a vision of dreams past.
Obama will win California, mainly because California has added the most amount of new voters (a very Obama-prone group) to the rolls since 2000 than any other state, close to three million. His african-american support, and growing (yet still weak) support among latinos will help. What will decide is the fact that independents can vote in the Dem. primary in CA...not in the Republican primary. Independents FLOCK to Obama and McCain. Obama is on the Democratic ballot, McCain is not. It is simple math.
Obama will win CA, NJ, NM, GA, and KS, among others. Hillary will have to settle for New York and Arizona (maybe). Obama will mark his territory and paint the town purple.
If this is not the case, no worries. Ohio comes up next, and thanks to the support of John Edwards and Teddy Kennedy, Obama will handedly win this Union friendly, working-class heavy state.
Oh yeah, and don't forget Oprah, who has left the shadows to once again bring the "You Go Girl" vote back to Barack.
Sorry, Hillary, you tigah now.
lhp
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